October 24, 2025

The Orchard Economy: Filling the Funding Gap in Australia’s $20bn Horticulture Sector

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Australia’s horticulture sector is becoming a cornerstone of agricultural value creation, and a growing opportunity for private credit to fill the funding gap for capital-intensive, land and water-backed assets.

After several years of export volatility, horticulture has emerged as one of the fastest-growing and highest-value agricultural sectors. Production value is forecast to reach a record $19.2bn in FY26, up 4%, and surpass $20bn by 2027 (ABARES). Horticulture now rivals meat and grains in total farm-gate value, driven by export-oriented production, strong Asian demand, and rising institutional investment.

Australia’s horticulture sector reflects a broader shift among investors toward productive farmland and food supply chains across Australia and New Zealand. At a macro level, three themes continue to define the private-credit opportunity: population growth sustaining long-term demand for housing and infrastructure; global food demand underpinning agricultural credit; and the prospect of lower bond yields in 2026 positioning real assets to outperform. Across these, private-credit strategies continue to deliver differentiated returns, anchored by liquidity premium, real-asset collateral and disciplined downside protection.

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