May 14, 2021

“The ‘Inflation’ Tide may not raise all ‘Cost’ Boats”

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  • Material inflation and tight labor markets suggest construction costs should be rising.
  • However, the anecdotal evidence of our borrowers is that construction tenders in the apartment sector are coming in below expectations
  • It appears the 70%+ decline in new apartment developments is leading builders and sub-contractors to compress margins to win business.
  • This is good news for developers and underpins the significant discount to replacement cost reflected in our loan attachments points (LVRs).
  • It does introduce some construction risk as builders have no margin and could face rising material costs during the life of a build contract.