May 16, 2025

Building Confidence: A New Phase for Construction Lending

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Improving supply dynamics and more predictable delivery timelines reshape the construction lending landscape. Slowing global growth, surplus manufacturing supply from China, and normalised supply chains are easing input costs and reducing delivery risk. For builders, this means flatter cost curves and fewer budget blowouts. Labour availability remains tight, but the severe shortages of 2022–23 have eased, giving contractors more confidence in timelines and margins.

With this more stable backdrop, we’re increasing construction exposure across our funds, from a current base of ~10% to a target range of 20% by year-end. The improved cost environment and greater delivery confidence support more capital to be deployed into well-structured in demand projects. Other key indicators of the shift in the market include:

​​​​​​​Source: CoreLogic

These dynamics are already flowing through our portfolio. Faster completions are shortening loan durations and releasing capital at a time when spreads remain compelling. This week, our funds received full repayment of a mixed-use project in Adelaide, returning $31.7 million. Originally structured as a land facility in 2020 and converted to construction funding, the loan supported the delivery of 33 apartments, a 72-room hotel, five commercial tenancies, and the restored Hackney Hotel. Following a borrower transition in August 2024 managed by Merricks Capital, the loan was refinanced this week and fully repaid, delivering investors a 13.5% net IRR.

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